Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.700651e-03 0.001887 0.002074 0.002276 0.002488 0.002703 0.002937
2024-12-22 1.393368e-03 0.001659 0.001936 0.002244 0.002575 0.002918 0.003300
2024-12-29 1.190050e-03 0.001518 0.001870 0.002271 0.002712 0.003179 0.003705
2025-01-05 1.028707e-03 0.001405 0.001822 0.002309 0.002855 0.003440 0.004111
2025-01-12 9.032737e-04 0.001321 0.001797 0.002364 0.003011 0.003715 0.004529
2025-01-19 7.352422e-04 0.001170 0.001683 0.002310 0.003038 0.003841 0.004782
2025-01-26 6.152185e-04 0.001065 0.001614 0.002300 0.003109 0.004013 0.005082
2025-02-02 5.114376e-04 0.000970 0.001549 0.002288 0.003173 0.004174 0.005367
2025-02-09 4.697772e-04 0.000952 0.001576 0.002385 0.003364 0.004478 0.005812
2025-02-16 3.971695e-04 0.000884 0.001534 0.002393 0.003445 0.004654 0.006112
2025-02-23 3.035098e-04 0.000772 0.001428 0.002316 0.003421 0.004703 0.006263
2025-03-02 2.306041e-04 0.000681 0.001341 0.002257 0.003415 0.004771 0.006433
2025-03-09 1.722955e-04 0.000616 0.001304 0.002284 0.003543 0.005032 0.006870
2025-03-16 1.120597e-04 0.000532 0.001233 0.002264 0.003613 0.005229 0.007239
2025-03-23 7.503482e-05 0.000480 0.001204 0.002300 0.003755 0.005513 0.007714
2025-03-30 4.740719e-05 0.000435 0.001183 0.002345 0.003908 0.005812 0.008208
2025-04-06 2.841178e-05 0.000401 0.001174 0.002404 0.004079 0.006134 0.008733
2025-04-13 7.606969e-06 0.000328 0.001090 0.002352 0.004103 0.006274 0.009039
2025-04-20 5.161406e-07 0.000278 0.001040 0.002344 0.004181 0.006480 0.009423
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000233 0.000991 0.002333 0.004254 0.006676 0.009795
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000226 0.001014 0.002432 0.004474 0.007058 0.010392
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000193 0.000980 0.002441 0.004570 0.007283 0.010798
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000143 0.000895 0.002363 0.004545 0.007352 0.011012